Geothermal Power Generation Market Size and Forecast (2021-2031)

Geothermal Power Generation Market Size and Forecast (2021-2031)

Geothermal Power Generation Market Size and Forecast (2021 – 2031), Global and Regional Share, Trend, and Growth Opportunity Analysis Report Coverage: By Plant Type (Direct Dry Steam, Flash Steam, and Binary Cycle), End User (Residential, Commercial, and Industrial), and Geography

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Description

The geothermal power generation market size is projected to reach US$ 27.14 billion by 2031 from US$ 15.45 billion in 2023; it is estimated to record a CAGR of 7.3% from 2022 to 2030.

Geothermal energy is one of the key renewable energy sources for generating electricity. In order to generate enough energy to generate electricity, geothermal power plants rely on heat that exists several kilometers beneath the Earth’s surface. In some areas, heat may exist naturally in the Earth’s core in the form of steam or hot water. Many countries have developed methods of using geothermal energy such as flash steam, binary cycle, and direct dry steam. Different types of geothermal power are available in different parts of the world. For example, Iceland has numerous hot springs that are easily accessible, allowing most people to rely on geothermal springs as a safe, reliable, and inexpensive source of energy. In other countries, such as the US, a cost-intensive geothermal drilling process is involved in harnessing energy.

Flash steam power plants are the most common type of geothermal power plants, which registered the largest geothermal power generation market share in 2023. The volcanically active island nation of Iceland covers almost all of its electricity needs through a series of flash steam geothermal power plants. The steam and excess warm water produced by the flash steam process heats icy sidewalks and parking lots in the cold arctic winter. The driving factors behind the global geothermal power generation market growth are a rise in demand for clean power generation, an increase in awareness of geothermal power extraction, and investment in tapping the geothermal energy potential across the globe. However, the high cost of drilling and exploration of geothermal energy and the availability of geothermal resources near tectonically active areas, which are prone to earthquakes, are among the factors restraining the geothermal power generation market growth.

Nevertheless, technological advancements play a crucial role in shaping the future of geothermal power generation market trends. One key area of innovation is the development of Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS). EGS technology involves creating engineered reservoirs in hot rock formations deep underground by injecting water into fractures to stimulate heat exchange. This has the potential to significantly expand the geographic reach of geothermal projects, tapping into previously untapped resources. By overcoming some of the limitations associated with traditional hydrothermal systems, EGS opened possibilities for increased capacity and widespread adoption of geothermal power.

In addition to EGS, advancements in binary cycle systems represent another significant technological opportunity. Binary cycle technology allows for the utilization of lower-temperature geothermal resources that were previously considered uneconomical. These systems operate by using a secondary fluid with a lower boiling point than water to drive a turbine, capturing energy from geothermal reservoirs with temperatures as low as 100°C. This innovation broadens the range of viable geothermal sites, making it possible to harness energy from more geographically diverse locations. The continuous improvement and deployment of such technologies contribute to the economic viability of geothermal power, making it a more attractive option in the global energy landscape.

The global geothermal power generation market analysis is segmented based on plant type, end user, and geography. Based on plant type, the geothermal power generation market is segmented into direct dry steam, flash steam, and binary cycle. Based on end users, the market is segmented into residential, commercial, and industrial. In terms of geography, the global geothermal power generation market is segmented into four major regions: North America, Europe, Asia Pacific (APAC), and the Rest of the World.

Northern California Power Agency, Turboden SpA, Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corp, Berkshire Hathaway Inc, NIBE Industrier AB, General Electric Co., Fuji Electric Co Ltd, Kenya Electricity Generating Co Ltd, Carrier Global Corp., and Danfoss AS are among the key players profiled in the geothermal power generation market report.

The overall geothermal power generation market size has been derived using both primary and secondary sources. Exhaustive secondary research has been conducted using internal and external sources to obtain qualitative and quantitative information related to the geothermal power generation market share. The process also helps obtain an overview and geothermal power generation market forecast with respect to all the market segments. Also, multiple primary interviews have been conducted with industry participants to validate the data and gain analytical insights. This process includes industry experts such as VPs, business development managers, market intelligence managers, and national sales managers, along with external consultants such as valuation experts, research analysts, and key opinion leaders, specializing in the geothermal power generation market.

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According to our latest study on “Geothermal Power Generation Market Forecast to 2031 –Global Analysis – by Plant Type, and End User,” the market is expected to grow from US$ 15.45 billion in 2023 to US$ 27.14 billion by 2031; it is anticipated to record a CAGR of 7.3% from 2023 to 2031.

The geothermal power generation market growth is linked to the geological conditions favorable for tapping into the Earth’s internal heat. The Earth’s geology influences geothermal power’s global distribution, and regions with high volcanic activity, tectonic plate boundaries, or hotspots are more likely to have significant geothermal resources. While some regions have been at the forefront of geothermal development, ongoing advancements in technology, such as enhanced geothermal systems (EGS), are expanding the reach of geothermal power, making it an increasingly viable option for clean and sustainable energy worldwide.

Key Findings of Market Study:

Based on plant type, the geothermal power generation market analysis is segmented into direct dry steam, flash steam, and binary cycle. The flash steam segment accounted for more than 64.6% of revenue in the market in 2023 and is expected to be the key segment during the forecast period. Flash steam power plants are a relatively common method used to convert geothermal energy into electricity when production wells produce a mixture of steam and liquid in one geothermal system. Compared to a single flash, the double flash steam power plant generates more electricity from geothermal fluid under the same conditions.

The energy transition in net-zero carbon emissions is a complex process that includes fossil fuels phasing out over time and being replaced by renewable and sustainable energy sources in combination with other measures, such as energy efficiency. Fossil fuel power generation plants are major emitters of greenhouse gases and are being shut down for environmental reasons. An average of 62 GW in 2020 and 2021 fossil fuels have been shut down yearly. Thus, the rise in decommissioning of fossil fuel-based power plants is expected to drive the geothermal power generation market trends in the coming years.

Asia Pacific dominated the geothermal power generation market during the forecast period. This is owing to the presence of major powerhouse in the region including Indonesia, New Zealand, Philippines, and others in the region. In addition, the rise in investment towards renewable power generation in the region is anticipated to fuel the market growth from 2023 to 2031. In 2023, Asia Pacific held the largest geothermal power generation market share of ~39.6% in the geothermal power generation market worldwide and is expected to record a CAGR of 5.9% from 2023 to 2031. This is owing to the presence of geothermal power-generating countries, including Indonesia, the Philippines, New Zealand, and Japan. The demand for power in Asia Pacific continues to increase owing to rapid industrialization across the region, which has further led to increased generation of sustainable electricity. Moreover, increasing government initiatives and funding toward the construction of geothermal power plants in the region is projected to fuel the geothermal power generation market growth in the coming years.

New Zealand has harnessed its geothermal potential for electricity generation and heating applications. Opportunities include expanding capacity, optimizing existing plants, and integrating geothermal power into the country’s diverse renewable energy mix. The development of innovative technologies, such as binary cycle systems, can enhance efficiency and make geothermal power more competitive. In addition, East African countries such as Kenya and Ethiopia are harnessing their geothermal potential. Kenya has invested significantly in geothermal power development, contributing to its energy mix. The East African Rift system offers favorable conditions for tapping into geothermal reservoirs.

Northern California Power Agency, Turboden SpA, Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corp, Berkshire Hathaway Inc, NIBE Industrier AB, General Electric Co., Fuji Electric Co Ltd, Kenya Electricity Generating Co Ltd, Carrier Global Corp., and Danfoss AS are among the key players covered in the geothermal power generation market report. The geothermal power generation market report includes growth prospects owing to the current geothermal power generation market trends and their foreseeable impact during the forecast period.

o Save and reduce time carrying out entry-level research by identifying the growth, size, leading players, and segments in the geothermal power generation market.
o Highlights key business priorities in order to assist companies to realign their business strategies
o The key findings and recommendations highlight crucial progressive industry trends in the geothermal power generation market, thereby allowing players across the value chain to develop effective long-term strategies
o Develop/modify business expansion plans by using substantial growth offering developed and emerging markets
o Scrutinize in-depth global market trends and outlook coupled with the factors driving the market, as well as those hindering it
o Enhance the decision-making process by understanding the strategies that underpin commercial interest with respect to client products, segmentation, pricing and distribution

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. Introduction
1.1 Scope of the Study
1.2 Market Definition, Assumptions and Limitations
1.3 Market Segmentation
2. Executive Summary
2.1 Key Insights
2.2 Market Attractiveness Analysis
3. Research Methodology
4. Geothermal Power Generation Market Landscape
4.1 Overview
4.2 PEST Analysis
4.3 Ecosystem Analysis
4.3.1 List of Vendors in the Value Chain
5. Geothermal Power Generation Market – Key Market Dynamics
5.1 Key Market Drivers
5.2 Key Market Restraints
5.3 Key Market Opportunities
5.4 Future Trends
5.5 Impact Analysis of Drivers and Restraints
6. Geothermal Power Generation Market – Global Market Analysis
6.1 Geothermal Power Generation – Global Market Overview
6.2 Geothermal Power Generation – Global Market and Forecast to 2030
7. Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue Analysis (USD Million) – By Plant Type, 2020-2030
7.1 Overview
7.2 Direct Dry Steam
7.3 Flash Steam
7.4 Binary Cycle
8. Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue Analysis (USD Million) – By End-User, 2020-2030
8.1 Overview
8.2 Residential
8.3 Commercial
8.4 Industrial
9. Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue Analysis (USD Million), 2020-2030 – Geographical Analysis
9.1 North America
9.1.1 North America Geothermal Power Generation Market Overview
9.1.2 North America Geothermal Power Generation Market Revenue and Forecasts to 2030
9.1.3 North America Geothermal Power Generation Market Revenue and Forecasts and Analysis – By Plant Type
9.1.4 North America Geothermal Power Generation Market Revenue and Forecasts and Analysis – By End-User
9.1.5 North America Geothermal Power Generation Market Revenue and Forecasts and Analysis – By Countries
9.1.5.1 Mexico Geothermal Power Generation Market
9.1.5.1.1 Mexico Geothermal Power Generation Market, by Plant Type
9.1.5.1.2 Mexico Geothermal Power Generation Market, by End-User
9.1.5.2 US Geothermal Power Generation Market
9.1.5.2.1 US Geothermal Power Generation Market, by Plant Type
9.1.5.2.2 US Geothermal Power Generation Market, by End-User
Note – Similar analysis would be provided for below mentioned regions/countries

9.2 Europe
9.2.1 Turkey
9.2.2 Italy
9.2.3 Russia
9.2.4 Iceland
9.2.5 Rest of Europe

9.3 Asia-Pacific
9.3.1 Japan
9.3.2 Indonesia
9.3.3 Philippines
9.3.4 New Zealand
9.3.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
9.4 Rest of World
9.4.1 Chile
9.4.2 Kenya
9.4.3 El Salvador
9.4.4 Rest of World
10. Industry Landscape
10.1 Mergers and Acquisitions
10.2 Agreements, Collaborations, Joint Ventures
10.3 New Product Launches
10.4 Expansions and Other Strategic Developments
11. Competitive Landscape
11.1 Heat Map Analysis by Key Players
11.2 Company Positioning and Concentration
12. Geothermal Power Generation Market – Key Company Profiles
12.1 Enel Green Power
12.1.1 Key Facts
12.1.2 Business Description
12.1.3 Products and Services
12.1.4 Financial Overview
12.1.5 SWOT Analysis
12.1.6 Key Developments
Note – Similar information would be provided for below list of companies

12.2 Ormat Technologies Inc
12.3 Toshiba Energy Systems and Solutions Corporation
12.4 US Geothermal Inc
12.5 Calpine Corporation
12.6 Federal Electricity Commission
12.7 Kenya Electricity Generating Company
12.8 Reykjavik Energy
12.9 Pertamina Geothermal Energy
12.10 CalEnergy Generation
12.11 Northern California Power Agency
13. Appendix
13.1 Glossary
13.2 About the Research Team
13.3 Market Intelligence Cloud

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1. Geothermal Power Generation Market Segmentation
Table 2. Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031 (US$ Million)
Table 3. Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031 (US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 4. Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031 (US$ Million) – by End User
Table 5. North America: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 6. North America: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 7. North America: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Country
Table 8. United States: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 9. United States: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 10. Mexico: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 11. Mexico: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 12. Europe: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 13. Europe: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 14. Europe: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Country
Table 15. Turkey: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 16. Turkey: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 17. Iceland: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 18. Iceland: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 19. Italy: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 20. Italy: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 21. Russia: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 22. Russia: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 23. Rest of Europe: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 24. Rest of Europe: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 25. Asia Pacific: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 26. Asia Pacific: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 27. Asia Pacific: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Country
Table 28. Japan: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 29. Japan: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 30. Indonesia: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 31. Indonesia: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 32. New Zealand: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 33. New Zealand: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 34. Philippines: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 35. Philippines: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 36. Rest of Asia Pacific: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 37. Rest of Asia Pacific: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 38. Rest of World: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 39. Rest of World: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 40. Rest of World: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Country
Table 41. Chile: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 42. Chile: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 43. Kenya: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 44. Kenya: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 45. El Salvador: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 46. El Salvador: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User
Table 47. Others: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by Plant Type
Table 48. Others: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million) – by End User

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1. Geothermal Power Generation Market Segmentation, by Geography
Figure 2. PEST Analysis
Figure 3. Ecosystem Analysis
Figure 4. Impact Analysis of Drivers and Restraints
Figure 5. Geothermal Power Generation Market Revenue (US$ Million), 2021–2031
Figure 6. Geothermal Power Generation Market Share (%) – by Plant Type (2023 and 2031)
Figure 7. Direct Dry Steam: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031 (US$ Million)
Figure 8. Flash Steam: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031 (US$ Million)
Figure 9. Binary Cycle: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031 (US$ Million)
Figure 10. Geothermal Power Generation Market Share (%) – by End User (2023 and 2031)
Figure 11. Residential: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031 (US$ Million)
Figure 12. Commercial: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031 (US$ Million)
Figure 13. Industrial: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031 (US$ Million)
Figure 14. Geothermal Power Generation Market Breakdown by Region, 2023 and 2031 (%)
Figure 15. North America: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 16. North America: Geothermal Power Generation Market Breakdown, by Plant Type (2023 and 2031)
Figure 17. North America: Geothermal Power Generation Market Breakdown, by End User (2023 and 2031)
Figure 18. North America: Geothermal Power Generation Market Breakdown, by Key Countries, 2023 and 2031 (%)
Figure 19. United States: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 20. Mexico: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 21. Europe: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 22. Europe: Geothermal Power Generation Market Breakdown, by Plant Type (2023 and 2031)
Figure 23. Europe: Geothermal Power Generation Market Breakdown, by End User (2023 and 2031)
Figure 24. Europe: Geothermal Power Generation Market Breakdown, by Key Countries, 2023 and 2031 (%)
Figure 25. Turkey: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 26. Iceland: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 27. Italy: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 28. Russia: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 29. Rest of Europe: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 30. Asia Pacific: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 31. Asia Pacific: Geothermal Power Generation Market Breakdown, by Plant Type (2023 and 2031)
Figure 32. Asia Pacific: Geothermal Power Generation Market Breakdown, by End User (2023 and 2031)
Figure 33. Asia Pacific: Geothermal Power Generation Market Breakdown, by Key Countries, 2023 and 2031 (%)
Figure 34. Japan: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 35. Indonesia: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 36. New Zealand: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 37. Philippines: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 38. Rest of Asia Pacific: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 39. Rest of World: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 40. Rest of World: Geothermal Power Generation Market Breakdown, by Plant Type (2023 and 2031)
Figure 41. Rest of World: Geothermal Power Generation Market Breakdown, by End User (2023 and 2031)
Figure 42. Rest of World: Geothermal Power Generation Market Breakdown, by Key Countries, 2023 and 2031 (%)
Figure 43. Chile: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 44. Kenya: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 45. El Salvador: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 46. Others: Geothermal Power Generation Market – Revenue and Forecast to 2031(US$ Million)
Figure 47. Company Positioning & Concentration
Figure 48. Heat Map Analysis

The List of Companies – Geothermal Power Generation Market
o Northern California Power Agency
o Turboden SpA
o Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions Corp
o Berkshire Hathaway Inc
o NIBE Industrier AB
o General Electric Co.
o Fuji Electric Co Ltd
o Kenya Electricity Generating Co Ltd
o Carrier Global Corp.
o Danfoss AS

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